The Circuit

Ben Bajarin and Jay Goldberg
The Circuit
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  • EP 145: Marvell Analyst Day, Broadcom Earnings, AI Trade Sentiment
    This discussion analyzes the evolving landscape of semiconductor networking and custom silicon, anchored by recent updates from Marvell and Broadcom. Ben and Jay review Marvell’s Industry Analyst Day, noting the company’s strategic pivot toward networking and optical interconnects over pure custom logic. They debate the technical and timeline challenges of shifting AI clusters from copper to optical (fiber) cabling, contrasting Google’s proprietary all-optical approach with the broader merchant market. The conversation then moves to Broadcom’s recent earnings, dissecting the market’s negative reaction to CEO Hawk Tan’s low-energy performance, the looming competitive threat of MediaTek at Google, and the complexities of modeling AI revenue. Finally, they close with a year-end review of AI stock performance, highlighting growing capital sensitivity and skepticism regarding the sustainability of current AI infrastructure spending.
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    42:44
  • EP 144: AWS Tranium, Marvell Earnings, Intel EMIB!
    In this episode, Ben and Jay discuss a range of topics including Ben's health update, Amazon's recent AWS event focusing on AI compute, the competitive landscape with Nvidia and Google, Marvell's earnings and challenges in custom silicon, networking innovations with DPUs, Marvell's acquisition of Celestial, Nvidia's investment in Synopsys, Intel's resurgence in advanced packaging, and the leadership changes at Apple. The conversation highlights the evolving dynamics in the tech industry, particularly in AI and cloud computing.
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    56:45
  • EP 143: NVIDIA Earnings! Google and Gemini TPUs FTW
    In this conversation, Ben Bajarin discusses the recent innovations surrounding NanoBanana and its new feature, Notebook LM, which has significantly impacted the way infographics are created. He highlights the ease with which users can transform data and text into visually appealing infographics, showcasing the power of AI in data visualization.
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    46:54
  • Ep 142: AMD Financial Analyst Day, Neoclouds earnings - REITS or Neoclouds?
    The conversation explores the dynamics of market competition, particularly focusing on AMD's position and the strategies of hyperscalers. The discussion delves into game theory as a framework for understanding potential future scenarios in the tech industry. They also discuss key neocloud earnings and engage in a conversation on if these companies are REITs or neoclouds. 
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    45:38
  • EP 141: Talking Bubbles, ARM and QCOM Earnings, Memory/Storage Cyclicality
    This episode argues that today’s AI exuberance fits a familiar pattern: bubbles misallocate capital on the way up but leave behind productive infrastructure that powers the next S-curve. We revisit the “boom-bust-build-out” cycle and apply it to compute and the grid, note why “good enough” AI latency could flip capex behavior, and push back on modeling everything in gigawatts—useful for planning, risky for strategy. On companies: ARM’s quarter was solid, with rising royalties/CSS stickiness and a strongly implied first-party chip effort complemented by the DreamBig memory-controller acquisition to improve AI-era CPU roles. Qualcomm benefits from a higher-ASP Android cycle, nurtures auto/smart-glasses adjacencies, and eyes DC inference. On supply: Elon hedges silicon with foundry allocations while fab-building talk reads as negotiating leverage; memory/storage stay tight with longer contracts and measured adds. Net: optimism about what survives the eventual correction, caution on GW-only thinking, and watchpoints around ARM’s vertical creep, Qualcomm’s DC push, and supply-chain discipline.
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    51:35

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A podcast about the business and market of semiconductors
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