In the Loop AI

Google now has the number one AI model in the world. Gemini 4 Carbon tops the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index two weeks after Gemini 4 Argon, and Google Cloud revenue more than doubled to $30.7 billion. So why did Alphabet stock open down nearly 12%? Search, the business that pays for everything, grew just 12% and fell below half of Google's revenue for the first time as AI Mode answers more questions and earns less per query. Add a quiet change to how Google charges advertisers, the exits of Jeff Dean and Demis Hassabis, and a paper loss on SpaceX, and the market isn't buying the comeback. Ejaaz thinks it's wrong.
We also cover Genie 4, Google's new world model, which uses the cheaper Gemini 3.8 Flash as its planner; Microsoft offering buyouts to 60,000 employees, its own AI teams included; SK Hynix selling out its memory through 2029; and China's STAR 50 tech index falling more than 40% since June.
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Timestamps
00:00 Google Has the #1 AI Model
01:58 Gemini 4 Carbon
03:51 Earnings: Cloud Doubles
04:39 Why the Stock Fell 12%
05:13 Search Drops Below 50%
06:29 $200 Billion in Capex
07:27 Can You Trust the Benchmarks?
08:19 The Ad Auction Change
09:42 Ads in AI Chat
10:29 Google's TPU Customers
11:55 Jeff Dean and Demis Hassabis
12:42 The SpaceX Loss
13:23 Genie 4
16:03 Microsoft's 60,000 Buyouts
18:40 SK Hynix Sold Out Through 2029
19:41 China's Tech Stocks and Final Thoughts
#ai #google #gemini #stocks #earnings
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Anthropic just got hacked again, and this time we know who did it. Cathedral, a start-up founded by former DOGE staffers and co-founded by the Pentagon's former chief data officer, ran AI agents against Anthropic under its bug bounty program. The front door held for days; the way in was business software Anthropic buys from other companies, and it led to meeting transcripts, salaries and Slack messages about its advanced models. Anthropic says it took several days, not 12 hours, and that nothing came near its model weights. Its own red-team lead says we may need to reinvent security every year.

We also cover the Pentagon's feud with Anthropic, why Slack is where the AI labs keep their secrets, what last week's Black October has to do with it, and why older, cheaper models running 24/7 could put every company in the same spot.

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Timestamps
00:00 Anthropic Hacked Again
01:08 Who Is Cathedral?
02:03 Through the Back Door
02:58 The Slack Warning
03:36 Anthropic Pushes Back
04:19 The Pentagon Grudge
08:06 Underplaying the Breach
10:05 Reinvent Security Every Year
12:44 Castle Defense
15:06 Final Thoughts: Third Parties
16:52 Hackers That Never Sleep
17:43 Nationalizing the Labs?
18:25 China and Closing Thoughts

#ai #anthropic #cybersecurity #claude #hacking

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In the space of a week, three of the richest men in the world called the top of the AI trade. Elon Musk says debt markets have shut for anyone without real revenue outside AI data centers and that 200+ neoclouds face "guppy-level death." Citadel's Ken Griffin says there are "almost certainly bubbles." Chamath Palihapitiya says most AI spending is subsidized by venture capital. CoreWeave, Nebius and IREN are down more than 30% in a month. But each of them has a reason to say it, so Ejaaz digs into what's true, what's talking their book, and what investors should actually worry about.
We also cover GPUs collecting dust in Amazon's warehouses, the 11th-hour bank talks behind Anthropic's record debt deal, why data centers take so long to switch on, and the bull case hiding in Anthropic's S-1.
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Timestamps
00:00 Three Billionaires Call the Top
01:43 Chamath's Neocloud Warning
02:18 Elon Piles On
03:29 Where the AI Money Comes From
04:37 Neoclouds Take the Hit
05:29 GPUs Collecting Dust
07:20 Testing Chamath's Claims
10:17 The Debt Window Closes
14:10 Why Data Centers Take So Long
15:47 Where Elon Is Right
18:03 Where He's Talking His Book
19:40 The Bull Case
20:26 Final Thoughts
#ai #elonmusk #spacex #aibubble #stockmarket
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Anthropic just filed its S-1 ahead of what could be the biggest IPO in history, and the whole market has been waiting on it. Chip stocks fell eight sessions in a row, the headline number is an $80.7 billion loss, and everyone wants to know: is Anthropic actually making money, and are we in an AI bubble? Ejaaz came in skeptical and went through the filing. It's not what it looks like.
We break down revenue that went from $41 million in 2023 to $16.3 billion in the first half of 2026, why Anthropic now makes about $2 for every $1 it spends on compute, 900% net revenue retention, Claude Cowork outpacing Claude Code, the $120.5 billion going to SpaceX for GPUs, $132 billion in cash and short-term investments, and why $72.4 billion of that loss is an accounting charge, not cash out the door.
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Timestamps
00:00 The IPO Everything Hangs On
01:14 They're Crushing It
02:12 Revenue Finally Beats Compute
03:11 Who Pays Anthropic
05:11 900% Net Revenue Retention
06:53 Where the Money Comes From
08:45 Claude Cowork's Surprise
11:24 Anthropic's Big Predictions
13:56 The Bear Case
14:10 Half a Trillion in Compute
15:35 Elon's GPU Toll Booth
17:26 $132 Billion in the Bank
19:32 The $80 Billion Paper Loss
20:25 Final Thoughts
23:15 The Roko's Basilisk Meme
#anthropic #ipo #claude #ai #aibubble
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Anthropic finally has its answer to Meta Muse, OpenAI Dots and Grok Bot. Claude Duet is a 24/7 personal agent that works on its own computer in the cloud, carries over your Claude memory and connected apps, and comes to you with what needs your attention. Ejaaz has had early access for 48 hours: he maps a five-mile walk through streets he's never walked, prices a Shadowless Charizard with live eBay listings, and shows the Tasks tab it fills overnight. Then how it compares, what it costs, and whether you can trust it.
We also cover the money behind the agent race: OpenAI's $30 billion round, DeepSeek's $15 billion raise, Meta's first negative free cash flow quarter since 2012, and why 2027 capex is shaping up to be enormous.
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Timestamps
00:00 Claude Duet Is Finally Here
01:36 What Duet Actually Is
04:13 Demo: A Walk Through Manhattan
07:01 Demo: Pricing a Shadowless Charizard
07:49 It Reads Your Mind
09:08 The Tasks Tab
10:22 Duet vs Grok Bot, Dots and Muse
11:39 What It Costs
13:18 Can You Trust It?
14:29 The New Way to Use the Internet
19:05 OpenAI and DeepSeek Raise Billions
21:32 Meta Goes Cash-Flow Negative
22:49 The AI Capex Bet
24:17 Final Thoughts
#ai #claude #anthropic #aiagents #claudeduet
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