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FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics

Podcast FiveThirtyEight Politics
Podcast FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics


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  • Are Democrats Really Going To Win In Ohio And Wisconsin?
    In recent weeks, Democrats’ odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. In this installment of “Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats’ performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans.
  • Republican Outsiders Have Made Their Mark This Cycle
    The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterm’s primaries.
  • Could The 'Inflation Reduction Act' Save Biden's Approval Rating?
    The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out.
  • Why Kansas Voted To Keep Its Right To Abortion
    The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington.
  • All The Political News You Missed Last Week
    The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump.

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