All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner fills in for Friedberg!
(2:58) OpenAI vs Anthropic IPOs: Why it matters who goes first, what they learned from the SpaceX IPO, the unlimited TAM of intelligence
(27:39) The open source decision, Meta's new model, Zuck's price war, AI duopoly
(54:29) CCP considering putting export controls on Chinese models, is open source ending in China?
(1:03:09) Trump Accounts launch, getting young Americans bought back into capitalism
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Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://polymarket.com/event/ipos-before-2027
https://x.com/thejessezhang/status/2074154325933424861
https://x.com/praveenTweets/status/2074605343439810922
https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074802778074124434
https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074814752174522857
https://x.com/brian_armstrong/status/2070670644577280109
https://x.com/andyfang/status/2074252174226493584
https://x.com/nikesharora/status/2074630732019036574
https://x.com/finkd/status/2075218444056707458
https://x.com/alighodsi/status/2074996561306955958
https://blog.nicolasmeridjen.com/en/blog/2026-04-03-alibaba-qwen-closed-source-end-of-open-weight
https://www.chinatalk.media/p/chinas-ai-companies-are-going-closed
https://www.reuters.com/world/beijing-is-looking-curbing-overseas-access-chinas-top-ai-models-sources-say-2026-07-07
https://x.com/KurtSupeCPA/thread/2074817292550984010

(0:00) The AI Buildout: Datacenters Bigger Than Cities (Andrew Feldman)
(1:50) Reasoning, Inference, and Breaking Moore's Law
(16:28) Open Source, AI Sovereignty, and the Road to AGI
(40:54) The Innovation Behind Generative Video (Robin Rombach)
(47:31) Martin Scorsese, Robots, and the Future of Hollywood IP
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Follow Andrew:
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Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://x.com/yung_spielburg

(0:00) Bestie intros: Happy Fourth of July!
(0:21) Palantir-Nvidia open source deal, Alex Karp's CNBC "Crashout"
(33:52) Update on the AI jobs debate
(50:24) Anthropic's Fable 5 available after export restrictions lifted
(59:06) SCOTUS upholds birthright citizenship, striking Trump's EO
(1:21:30) Newsom's "balanced budget" and how California's dire fiscal situation could break apart the Union
Apply for Summit 2026:
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Follow the besties:
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https://x.com/friedberg
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Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/palantir-secure-ai-us-agencies-nemotron-open-models
https://x.com/PalantirTech/status/2072326189079757277
https://www.theinformation.com/articles/anthropic-blindsides-business-partners?rc=f8fu8f
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/FIG:NYSE
https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/2072673187666813226
https://x.com/chamath/status/2072665199786561713
https://x.com/quxiaoyin/status/2072428278976074115
https://x.com/chamath/status/2072390507628540213
https://www.justice.gov/usao-cdca/pr/chinese-national-pleads-guilty-running-birth-tourism-scheme-helped-aliens-give-birth-us
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/democratic-socialist-melat-kiros-defeats-longtime-house-incumbent-in-colorado-primary
https://x.com/GavinNewsom/status/2070496029280276571
https://www.ocregister.com/2026/02/27/these-charts-show-how-californias-budget-has-skyrocketed
https://x.com/JeanneIves/status/2072165726526308719
https://polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028

(0:00) Nate Silver joins the pod!
(10:02) California's ballot counting problem: Raman's late-mail surge, ballot harvesting claims, and why the US counts slower than India
(25:18) Democrats' three-way civil war: The left, the abundance libs, and Newsom's "resistance lib" base
(34:48) The winning 2028 playbook: Anti-oligarch messaging, why young men want control, and immigrants fleeing the Dems
(45:48) How algorithmic social media entrenches polarization: Elon's X, filter bubbles, and the death of the chronological feed
(50:01) 2026 midterm predictions: 85-90% Dem House takeover, Senate toss-up, and the Iran/gas price wildcard
(55:20) Newsom is collapsing in polls: Nate's 2028 Dem bet is AOC
 
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Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Gavin Baker and Travis Kalanick join the show!
(1:05) Mamdani-endorsed socialists sweep congressional primaries in NYC
(22:51) Future of the Democratic Party, the Israel issue, social media bans
(45:12) China's open-source AI catch up, distillation, OpenAI's new chip
(1:01:46) Micron smashes earnings, AI's memory crunch hitting Apple and consumer hardware
(1:10:17) The math behind distributed compute and datacenters in space
(1:27:22) IPO update: Anthropic at $3T, SpaceX float, Cerebras drops after breaking deal price
Follow Gavin:
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Follow Travis:
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Apply for Summit 2026:
https://allin.com/events
Follow the besties:
https://x.com/chamath
https://x.com/Jason
https://x.com/DavidSacks
https://x.com/friedberg
Follow on X:
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Follow on Instagram:
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Follow on TikTok:
https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod
Follow on LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod
Intro Music Credit:
https://rb.gy/tppkzl
https://x.com/yung_spielburg
Intro Video Credit:
https://x.com/TheZachEffect
Referenced in the show:
https://abcnews.com/Politics/clean-sweep-3-candidates-endorsed-mamdani-win-primaries/story?id=134152579
https://polymarket.com/event/mamdani-team-sweeps-primaries-20260618232357710
https://x.com/thestustustudio/status/2067356255916536120
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2026-election/espaillat-ny-house-primary-loss-district-13-avila-chevalier-rcna351127
https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/2069645066252034288
https://x.com/america/status/2069622732279402804
https://x.com/realmaalouf/status/2069433391162798337
https://x.com/JoshBlockDC/status/2070108811851882691
https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/2069776474429624684
https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/2068829255786803368
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2026/04/07/negative-views-of-israel-netanyahu-continue-to-rise-among-americans-especially-young-people
https://x.com/PirateWires/status/2069146641266094417
https://www.wsj.com/economy/the-data-center-boom-is-sparking-a-third-wave-of-inflation-926adc6e
https://x.com/jietang/status/2067580270078030088