The Team House

We break down Tucker Carlson’s claim that the U.S. could use a nuclear weapon against Iran’s deeply buried Pickaxe Mountain facility, what tactical nukes can actually do, and why the idea is far less straightforward than it sounds. We also discuss the risks of radioactive fallout, whether the leak itself could be strategic signaling, the limits of another air campaign, and whether diplomacy with Iran is starting to become the only realistic path forward.
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Andy’s book ⬇️
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00:00 – Start
00:01 – Tucker Carlson Claims the U.S. Could Nuke Iran
00:58 – Why Pickaxe Mountain Is at the Center of the Story
02:32 – How Plausible Is a Nuclear Strike?
04:13 – Can Any Weapon Actually Reach the Tunnels?
04:43 – Why a Tactical Nuke Wouldn’t Solve the Problem
06:44 – Netanyahu, Hegseth & Pressure for Another Strike
08:18 – Has U.S. Nuclear Doctrine Changed?
09:16 – There Is No Such Thing as a “Small” Nuclear War
10:00 – What Happens to Enriched Uranium If the Site Is Hit?
11:11 – How Presidents Are Briefed on Extreme Military Options
12:58 – What Tactical Nuclear Weapons Does the U.S. Actually Have?
14:39 – B-2s, Diego Garcia & Delivery Options
16:04 – Hiroshima vs. Modern Tactical Nuclear Yields
17:07 – How Much Force Would It Take to Penetrate Pickaxe Mountain?
18:56 – Was Iran’s Nuclear Program Ever Really “Obliterated”?
19:02 – The Risk of Radioactive Material Going Airborne
20:22 – What Aerosolized Nuclear Material Could Do to Civilians
21:08 – Considering the Source: Tucker Carlson
22:20 – Could the Leak Be Deliberate Signaling to Iran?
24:06 – Why Tucker Could Be the Perfect Conduit for a Leak
25:51 – Why Another Short Air Campaign Probably Won’t Work
27:53 – Pickaxe Mountain, Fordow & Natanz
29:45 – Iran Has Far More Nuclear Sites Than Just One Mountain
31:30 – Why Pickaxe Mountain Was Chosen in the First Place
33:27 – Would Even a Nuclear Weapon Be Enough?
33:47 – Why Repeated Penetrator Strikes Have Limits
35:01 – How Blast Energy Actually Moves Through Rock
36:03 – The Limits of Nuclear Penetrators
36:40 – Tucker Carlson’s Recent Track Record
38:31 – Netanyahu’s Long History of Nuclear Warnings
39:35 – Why Nuclear Weapons Haven’t Been Used in 80 Years
41:16 – Could a New Iran Deal Be Taking Shape?
43:18 – Netanyahu’s Political Clock Is Running
45:10 – Eight Months of War & the Same Unanswered Questions
47:09 – When Would the U.S. Actually Resume Strikes?
47:54 – Elections, Timing & What Happens Next
48:49 – Is Tucker Being Used as a “Useful Idiot”?
49:16 – MAGA, Anti-Israel Influencers & the Strange Coalition
50:11 – The Left-Right Convergence on Israel & Ukraine
51:16 – Russian & Iranian Influence in Alternative Media
51:56 – Closing Thoughts

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We break down the delayed Patriot sale to Ukraine, Washington’s increasingly contradictory Russia policy, and what that dysfunction looks like to U.S. allies and partners. We also examine the possible paths forward with Iran, including renewed strikes, economic pressure, negotiations, the risks of retaliation, and why no option offers an easy route to victory.
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Jon's Twitter:
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Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejonathanhackett
Twitter: https://x.com/jonathanhackett
Find Marc P here:
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Find Andy Milburn here: 
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LinkedIn ⬇️
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Substack ⬇️
https://amilburn.substack.com/
Andy’s book ⬇️
https://www.amazon.com/When-Tempest-Gathers-Mogadishu-Operations
00:00 – Start
00:37 – Patriot Missiles for Ukraine… in 2030?
01:30 – Why the Announcement Does Nothing for Ukraine This Winter
03:02 – Is the Patriot Deal Really About U.S. Domestic Politics?
04:07 – Europe, Canada & Norway Help Fund the Sale
05:00 – Russia Escalates Attacks on Ukraine’s Energy Infrastructure
05:30 – U.S. Diesel Deals With Russia & Sanctions Waivers
06:27 – Washington Pressures Ukraine to Stop Striking Russian Oil
07:00 – Starlink & Starshield Disruptions
08:27 – Is U.S. Policy Quietly Shifting Toward Russia?
09:00 – CIA Targeting Support vs. White House Policy
10:09 – Why the National Security Process Is Breaking Down
12:04 – America’s Grand Strategy Problem
12:35 – The National Security Council Isn’t Working
14:09 – What U.S. Policy Confusion Looks Like to Our Allies
15:00 – How Ukrainian Troops View Washington
16:19 – Why Britain Is Seen Differently in Ukraine
17:00 – The Importance of Consistent Support to Allies
18:00 – What Saudi Arabia Is Seeing From the U.S.
19:05 – America’s Relationship With Arab Partners
20:19 – Marc’s Story About the Kurds & U.S. Betrayal
21:34 – Turning Our Back on the SDF
22:21 – Why Allies Compare Their Support to Israel’s
23:33 – Is This Specifically a Trump Administration Problem?
24:38 – Iran War Depletes U.S. Air Defense Stockpiles
24:47 – Shifting to Iran
25:53 – Five Possible U.S. Courses of Action Against Iran
27:31 – Are U.S.-Iran Negotiations Actually Different This Time?
28:39 – Economic Pressure vs. Renewed Military Action
29:25 – The Escalation Ladder With Iran
30:16 – The Missing Question: What Is the Objective?
32:07 – Why Escalation Without an End State Is Dangerous
33:26 – The NSC’s Binary Approach to Iran
34:07 – Option 1: Make a Deal
34:30 – Option 2: Continue Economic Warfare
35:00 – Option 3: Limited Strikes Around Hormuz
35:30 – Option 4: Major Strikes on Iran
36:01 – Can Another Air Campaign Actually Change Iran’s Position?
36:30 – Option 5: Strikes Aimed at Regime Collapse
37:40 – Predictions: What Happens After the Midterms?
38:04 – Jonathan Predicts Broader Infrastructure Strikes
38:56 – Andy Predicts a Short, Sharp Campaign
39:36 – Could Election Results Push Trump Toward Escalation?
41:30 – Is a Deal With Iran Still Possible?
41:59 – What Would Jim Mattis Tell Trump?
42:20 – Iranian Retaliation & Risks to U.S. Forces
42:57 – What Has the War Actually Achieved?
44:00 – The Doomsday Prepping Panic
45:13 – Costco Runs, Generators & Cyberattack Fears
46:11 – Why Dee Didn’t Prep
46:46 – Why Oil Is Still So Expensive
47:03 – Risk Premiums, Insurance & Shipping Through Hormuz
48:55 – Why Brent Crude Doesn’t Reflect Today’s Conditions
50:01 – What’s Going on in Poland?
50:09 – Poland’s Political Crisis Explained
51:33 – Midterm Election Predictions
52:09 – What Would Dee Buy for Doomsday Prepping?

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Alex Dekker looks back on his path from conventional infantry in Ramadi to 5th Special Forces Group, combat in Afghanistan, the Special Forces Combat Diver course, the fight against ISIS, and his final decade in a more specialized Army special operations unit. We also discuss his transition out of the military and how his experiences in Special Forces, intelligence, archaeology, and the Middle East shaped his debut novel, Desert Heist.
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Find Alex here: https://www.alexdekkerofficial.com/
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00:00 – Start
00:53 – Alex Dekker’s Interest in Archaeology
02:17 – Growing Up as an Army Brat
03:43 – His Father’s Career in Military Intelligence
04:00 – Why Special Operations Was Always the Goal
05:29 – Starting Out in the Conventional Army
06:39 – Deploying to Ramadi With 1st Infantry Division
07:20 – Seeing Special Forces in Iraq for the First Time
08:52 – What Conventional Infantry Life Was Really Like
10:32 – Leaving the Army & Going Back to College
11:00 – Returning on an 18X Contract
12:48 – Passing SFAS & Starting the Q Course
13:58 – Learning Arabic for 5th Special Forces Group
14:41 – Joining a Combat Dive Team
16:28 – Deploying to Afghanistan Six Weeks After Arriving
17:00 – His First Special Forces Deployment
18:16 – The Taliban Ambush That Nearly Killed Him
20:34 – Taking Over After the Team Was Wounded
22:53 – Fighting Through the Ambush With Shrapnel in His Leg
24:44 – Recovering & Returning to Afghanistan With a Cane
26:54 – Preparing for Combat Diver School After Being Wounded
29:06 – Inside the Special Forces Combat Diver Course
31:13 – Drown Proofing & Learning Not to Panic Underwater
32:26 – The 5th Group Guys Watching Everyone Else Deploy Somewhere Nice
33:41 – Sitting in Kuwait as the ISIS War Begins
35:30 – The Early U.S. Response to ISIS in Iraq
36:53 – Training While Waiting for the Mission to Expand
38:28 – Returning Home & Preparing for the Next Deployment
39:10 – Becoming an 18 Fox Intelligence Sergeant
41:15 – Targeting, Intelligence & Building the Battlefield Picture
43:04 – Working the Syria Problem as an 18 Fox
44:41 – Training Partner Forces Against ISIS
46:17 – Why ISIS Struggled Against Professional Forces
48:48 – What Special Forces Is Actually Designed to Do
50:15 – Looking for the Next Step Beyond 5th Group
52:03 – Moving Into a More Specialized Army Special Operations Unit
53:13 – What He Can Say About the Final Decade of His Career
54:48 – Retiring From the Secret Side of the Military
56:39 – The Honor Foundation & Transitioning Special Operators
57:34 – Why Networking Matters More Than Blind Job Applications
59:28 – Meeting His Wife, a Former CIA Operations Officer
1:00:09 – Leaving Two Secretive Careers Behind
1:01:52 – Why Intelligence Officers Struggle With Transition Too
1:03:34 – Writing Desert Heist in Three Months
1:05:32 – Finding a Literary Agent
1:08:00 – Combining Indiana Jones, Special Forces & Real History
1:09:22 – Building Characters From Real ODA Personalities
1:11:06 – Why Veterans Sometimes Miss the Chaos
1:13:03 – The Lost City at the Center of Desert Heist
1:14:28 – Green Berets, Russian Mercenaries & the Bigger Conspiracy
1:16:21 – Turning Desert Heist Into a Series
1:17:25 – What to Expect From the Next Nate Wilde Book
1:19:07 – Where to Find Alex & Desert Heist
1:20:21 – Jack & Alex Compare the Fiction Publishing Process
1:22:27 – Planning Storylines Several Books in Advance
1:23:31 – What Comes Next for Both Series
1:24:07 – Keeping Survival & Combat Realistic in Fiction
1:25:23 – Closing Thoughts  

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We break down Israel’s deadlocked election and coalition fight, what a possible change in government could mean for Iran policy, and the growing counterintelligence concerns around foreign influence, personnel cuts, and recent Iran-linked activity in Europe. We also discuss whether America has lost the initiative in the Middle East, the debate over restrictive rules of engagement during the War on Terror, and what lessons the U.S. military should actually take from 20 years of war.

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Support the show on Patreon:⬇️
https://www.patreon.com/TheTeamHouse
Jack's news outlet:⬇️
https://thehighside.substack.com/
Find Jon Hackett here:⬇️
Jon's Twitter:
https://x.com/jonathanhackett
Jon's LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejonathanhackett
Jon's books:
https://www.amazon.com/stores/author/B0C5L659N5?ccs_id=e11a2062-f8d3-498e-bfd7-7d2f3869caf6
Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejonathanhackett
Twitter: https://x.com/jonathanhackett
Find Marc P here:
https://x.com/Mpolymer
Find Andy Milburn here: 
Twitter ⬇️
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LinkedIn ⬇️
https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewmilburn2023
Substack ⬇️
https://amilburn.substack.com/
Andy’s book ⬇️
https://www.amazon.com/When-Tempest-Gathers-Mogadishu-Operations

00:00 – Start
00:58 – Israel’s Election Ends in a Deadlock
02:18 – How Israel’s Coalition System Works
03:27 – Could Israel Be Headed for Another Election?
04:16 – Arab Parties Suddenly Hold Major Bargaining Power
05:03 – What Arab Israelis Actually Want From the Government
06:19 – Israel’s Basic Law & the Question of Equality
07:16 – Can Either Side Build a 61-Seat Coalition?
08:48 – What Would an Eisenkot Government Actually Change?
09:37 – Netanyahu vs. Eisenkot on Iran
10:08 – Jared Kushner’s Role in Middle East Policy
11:04 – Inside the U.S. Security Relationship With the Palestinians
12:06 – Netanyahu’s Relationship With Kushner
12:42 – U.S. Military Officers & Foreign Influence Concerns
14:06 – How Does This Happen Without Counterintelligence Scrutiny?
14:27 – Strava, Wearables & Modern OPSEC Failures
17:33 – What Happens When FBI Counterintelligence Teams Get Cut?
18:04 – Offensive vs. Defensive Counterintelligence
19:14 – How Technology Has Changed Counterintelligence Operations
20:32 – Cutting Personnel With a Machete Instead of a Scalpel
21:30 – Losing Mandarin Speakers Inside the Government
22:41 – Iranian-Americans & the Failure to Use Native Expertise
24:14 – Why the U.S. Struggles to Identify Real Regional Experts
24:45 – The Books Intelligence Analysts Should Actually Be Reading
26:44 – What a New Iran Analyst Should Learn First
27:18 – Why Analysts Need to Read the Other Side’s Literature
29:02 – The Ugly American & Understanding Foreign Cultures
30:00 – The RAF Fairford Plot Returns to the News
30:21 – Suspects Go on Trial in the UK
31:16 – The Wider Network Behind the Fairford Case
32:04 – Iran-Linked Operations Across Europe
32:28 – Did a New IRGC Handler Rush the Operation?
33:36 – How the UK Network Was Structured
34:18 – Has Iran Lost Too Many Experienced Intelligence Officers?
34:59 – Sometimes Just Breaching the Base Is the Victory
35:24 – What World War I German Sabotage Can Teach Us
35:57 – Immigration, Brain Drain & America’s Talent Problem
37:05 – Why the U.S. Should Keep Iranian Scientists Here
37:43 – Operation Paperclip & Recruiting Enemy Talent
38:38 – Has America Lost the Initiative in the Middle East?
39:02 – The USS Abraham Lincoln as a Symbol of Strategic Failure
39:31 – “Escalate to Deescalate” & the Failure of Policy
40:14 – The New York Times on Special Operations Podcasts
40:58 – Why The Team House Avoids the Culture-War Trap
41:52 – Did America Lose Because We “Didn’t Take the Gloves Off”?
43:00 – When Rules of Engagement Really Were Too Restrictive
44:04 – The Eight-Hour Targeting Soak
45:01 – From Extremely Loose ROE to Extremely Restrictive ROE
45:50 – Why Different Battlefields Needed Different Rules
47:05 – When a Missed Drone Strike Reset the Entire Targeting Cycle
47:34 – “Restrike Authorized”
48:04 – Why Rules of Engagement Changed During the War
48:29 – McChrystal, F3EAD & the SOCOM Targeting Model
49:00 – Jessica Lynch & Early Iraq War Training Failures
50:36 – Army vs. Marine Corps Marksmanship Training
55:47 – Are We Learning the Right Lessons From 20 Years of War?
57:13 – Jack’s Upcoming High Side Story on Sudan
58:18 – Jonathan’s Next Writing Project
59:15 – Sanctions, Pistachios, Carpets & Iranian Saffron
1:00:35 – Is “Spanish Saffron” Actually Iranian?
1:01:26 – Syrian Aleppo Pepper & Sanctions Workarounds
1:02:12 – American Insurgent & the December 1 Deadline
1:03:14 – Closing Thoughts

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original airdate 11-3-23

Pete Blaber looks back on his path from the Ranger Regiment to Delta Force, including operations in Panama, Colombia, Somalia, Bosnia, Iraq, and Afghanistan, and the leadership lessons he carried from each. We also dig into his reconstruction of the Pat Tillman friendly-fire incident, the command failures that set the conditions for it, and why accountability and common-sense leadership matter so much in combat.

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Support the show on Patreon:⬇️
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Find Jon Hackett here:⬇️
Jon's Twitter:
https://x.com/jonathanhackett
Jon's LinkedIn:
https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejonathanhackett
Jon's books:
https://www.amazon.com/stores/author/B0C5L659N5?ccs_id=e11a2062-f8d3-498e-bfd7-7d2f3869caf6
Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thejonathanhackett
Twitter: https://x.com/jonathanhackett

Find Marc P here:
https://x.com/Mpolymer

Find Andy Milburn here: 
Twitter ⬇️
https://twitter.com/i/flow/login?redirect_after_login=%2Fandymilburn8
LinkedIn ⬇️
https://www.linkedin.com/in/andrewmilburn2023
Substack ⬇️
https://amilburn.substack.com/
Andy’s book ⬇️
https://www.amazon.com/When-Tempest-Gathers-Mogadishu-Operations

00:00 – Start
01:09 – Growing Up Outside Chicago
02:48 – Cross Country, Endurance & Learning to Push Through Pain
05:45 – Desert One Inspires Him to Join the Military
07:07 – Trying to Figure Out How to Get Into the Army
08:38 – “I Want to Join Delta Force”
09:04 – OCS & Becoming an Infantry Officer
10:16 – The Fastest Route to Ranger Regiment
10:36 – First Assignment in Korea
11:56 – Joining 2nd Ranger Battalion
12:22 – The Ranger Battalion Commander Who Shaped His Leadership
13:28 – What a Healthy Command Climate Looks Like
15:12 – “The Best Welfare for the Troops Is Getting Them Home”
16:09 – Learning to Stay Calm on the Radio
17:52 – Company Command in the 7th Infantry Division
18:14 – Invading Panama
19:48 – The Friendly Firefight That Changed His Thinking
22:15 – Realizing They Had Been Shooting at Another U.S. Unit
25:21 – Learning Leadership as a Young Lieutenant
27:18 – The Sergeant Major Who Taught Him “Don’t Be in a Hurry to Die”
29:31 – Learning From Bad Leaders
31:07 – Preparing for Delta Selection
32:45 – Passing Selection & Joining the Unit
34:10 – Delta Force in the Early 1990s
35:54 – Counternarcotics Becomes a Major Mission
36:35 – Hunting Pablo Escobar in Colombia
38:17 – Building Teams Around Skills & Personality
39:08 – Learning How to Find People Who Don’t Want to Be Found
40:36 – From Colombia to Mogadishu
41:16 – Why He Distrusted Helicopter-Centric Assaults
42:24 – Black Hawks vs. Little Birds
43:16 – The Low-Visibility Approach He Wanted in Somalia
46:10 – The Hunt for Pablo Escobar
48:27 – How Colombian Forces Ultimately Found Escobar
49:25 – Arriving in Mogadishu After the Battle
49:53 – Searching for Mike Durant
52:00 – What Happened After Black Hawk Down
53:52 – Personality Conflicts & Interoperability Problems
57:51 – Somalia Becomes the Final Nail on Helicopter Assaults
58:48 – How Somalia Changed CQB & Special Operations
1:00:21 – Taking the Fight to the Enemy Instead of Sitting Still
1:02:20 – Bosnia: The “Living Laboratory” for Human Hunting
1:04:58 – Learning Low-Visibility Operations in Bosnia
1:07:11 – Humor, Creativity & Problem Solving in Combat
1:10:01 – Brainstorming Unconventional Ways to Stop a Target
1:19:52 – Transitioning From Career Stories to Common Sense Leadership Matters
1:20:41 – Why Pete Wrote the New Book
1:21:00 – Commanding Delta in Iraq
1:22:34 – Four Operators Wounded on a Baghdad Target
1:27:22 – A Ranger Asks Pete for Help
1:37:15 – Getting Access to the Pat Tillman Investigation
1:40:00 – Discovering the Pattern of Toxic Leadership
1:42:50 – Reconstructing the Pat Tillman Mission
1:43:15 – The Terrain Where Tillman Was Killed
1:45:02 – Why Pete Considered the Area Extremely Dangerous
1:50:00 – The Sync Matrix & Pressure From Higher Headquarters
1:59:59 – The Order to Split the Platoon
2:00:32 – The Platoon Leader Explains Why the Order Makes No Sense
2:02:06 – How Splitting the Platoon Broke Up Organic Teams
2:04:05 – Sending Troops Out Without Reliable Communications
2:09:57 – Why Rangers Are a “National Treasure”
2:14:49 – Who Pat Tillman Really Was as a Soldier
2:16:25 – How Toxic Leadership Set the Conditions for Disaster
2:16:54 – Reconstructing the Day Tillman Was Killed
2:17:29 – Entering the Canyon
2:18:49 – Serial 2 Struggles Through the Terrain
2:26:41 – Crossfire Begins Raining Into the Canyon
2:28:45 – Tillman Moves Into Position on the Spur
2:29:57 – Tillman Takes Fire From the South
2:31:30 – The Position That Became the Most Dangerous Place on the Battlefield
2:35:25 – Serial 2 Opens Fire Toward Tillman’s Position
2:35:42 – Pat Tillman Is Killed
2:36:03 – Why the Rangers Couldn’t Hear Him Yelling
2:38:08 – Could They Actually See Tillman’s Position?
2:40:02 – How the Investigation Judged the Rangers
2:43:40 – Why Pete Believes the Shooters Were Put in an Impossible Situation
2:45:19 – Accountability for Senior Leaders
2:47:04 – “The Cover-Up Was Worse Than the Incident”
2:47:51 – The Decision Not to Tell Kevin Tillman the Truth
2:49:57 – What Leadership Should Have Told the Tillman Family
2:53:54 – What Happened to the Senior Officers?
2:55:14 – Promotions Instead of Accountability
2:56:05 – Why Pat Tillman Was Revered by His Platoon
2:57:40 – Are Senior Officers Protected From Consequences?
3:02:09 – Audience Questions
3:05:44 – Lost Platoons & Conventional Wisdom
3:08:08 – Were Delta Snipers Involved in Escobar’s Death?
3:09:27 – Where Advanced Force Operations Came From
3:13:16 – Other Innovations From the Special Operations Community
3:19:58 – Military Working Dogs & the Evolution of the Program
3:21:49 – How Intelligence Support to Operators Has Evolved
3:22:40 – Could Pack Mules Still Have a Place in Modern Warfare?
3:24:11 – Closing Thoughts
3:24:30 – Pete’s Books & Leadership Trilogy
3:25:43 – Where to Find Pete’s Maps, Photos & Firefight Reconstruction

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